Outrageous Predictions
Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026
Saxo Group
Investment and Options Strategist
You’ve worked hard to build your investments, and watched them grow. But when markets start to wobble, a common worry kicks in: how do I protect those gains without walking away from future upside?
This is where options come in. One of the simplest ways to reduce downside risk on shares you already own is a collar strategy - a defined-risk approach that uses two options:
If that sounds like a trade-off you’re willing to explore, this article is for you.
This guide builds on our earlier explainer:
How to protect your stocks with options when markets get shaky.
Here, we make it real - with simple, real-world examples on some of the most-traded names.
Before we begin: Each collar strategy assumes you already own 100 shares of the stock. Selling a call without owning the shares can expose you to unlimited risk, this guide focuses only on covered approaches.
Structure: put strike / call strike, net premium
→ Example: “220/275, debit $1.20” means buy a 220 put and sell a 275 call, for a net cost of $1.20 per share (or $120 per 100-share lot).
floor (put strike) = the protection level below which your stock losses are offset.
cap (call strike) = the level above which gains are capped because you’ve sold a call.
cost = the net option premium (+ credit = income; – debit = cost).
| Ticker | Expiry: 2025‑12‑19 | Expiry: 2026‑03‑20 | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | Balanced: 220/275, debit $1.20 Protective: 230/255, credit $0.85 | Balanced: 220/275, credit $0.30 Protective: 230/255, credit $3.70 | Spot ~243.04 43 DTE / 134 DTE |
| GOOGL | Balanced: 255/320, debit $0.25 Protective: 270/300, credit $0.70 | Balanced: 255/320, credit $2.45 Protective: 270/300, credit $3.95 | Spot ~284.75 43 DTE / 134 DTE |
| MSFT | Balanced: 445/560, debit $0.94 Protective: 465/525, credit $1.25 | Balanced: 445/560, credit $0.75 Protective: 465/525, credit $6.25 | Spot ~497.10 43 DTE / 134 DTE |
| NVDA | Balanced: 169/212, debit $0.50 Protective: 177/200, credit $0.50 | Balanced: 170/210, credit $1.55 Protective: 175/200, credit $3.25 | Spot ~188.08 43 DTE / 134 DTE |
| TSLA | Balanced: 400/500, credit $2.80 Protective: 420/470, credit $4.65 | Balanced: 400/500, credit $9.40 Protective: 420/470, credit $10.70 | Spot ~445.91 43 DTE / 134 DTE |
Note: These examples are for educational purposes only and should not be considered recommendations.
We’ve filtered for two common setups:
These aren’t perfect — just starting points to help you frame your own thinking.
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