Outrageous Predictions
Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026
Saxo Group
Investment and Options Strategist
If you were already planning to add IWDA to a long-term portfolio, this approach allows you to set a target entry price and receive a premium while waiting. The trade-off: if the ETF falls, you may have to buy it and carry the downside.
For many investors, iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF (IWDA) sits at the core of a portfolio. That includes traditional buy-and-hold investors, but also active traders who keep a longer-term allocation alongside shorter-term positions. In both cases, exposure is often built gradually rather than in one transaction.
That leads to a practical question. If you already intend to buy IWDA on a pullback, is there a structured way to do that while earning some premium? With IWDA mini-options, that approach becomes easier to implement in smaller, more manageable steps.
Standard ETF options typically represent 100 shares. With IWDA trading a little above EUR 100, that translates into a notional exposure of roughly EUR 10,000 or more per contract. For many investors, that is simply too large for incremental portfolio building.
Mini-options reduce that contract size to 10 shares. At current price levels, this brings the required capital closer to EUR 1,000 per contract. The risk profile does not change, but the sizing becomes far more practical. This matters not only for long-term investors, but also for traders who want to add to a core holding in controlled increments.
This strategy involves selling a put option while setting aside enough cash to buy the ETF if needed. In simple terms, you receive a premium today in exchange for committing to buy IWDA at a predefined price.
A put option gives its buyer the right to sell the ETF at the strike price. By selling that option, you take on the obligation to buy. The premium you receive compensates you for accepting that obligation.
The logic is straightforward: you define a price at which you would be comfortable owning IWDA, and you get paid while waiting to see if the market reaches that level.
Important note: The strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it is crucial to make informed decisions.
Using the snapshot shown (illustrative):
This results in EUR 16.50 of premium received.
If assigned, you would buy 10 shares at EUR 108, requiring EUR 1,080 in cash. Because of the premium received, your effective entry price becomes EUR 106.35 per share.
This gives the core metrics:
There are three broad outcomes:
This is where the strategy needs to be understood clearly.
Liquidity in mini-options can also vary, which may affect execution prices. In addition, early assignment is possible, meaning the shares could be bought before expiry.
The key point is that the premium is not a hedge. It is compensation for taking on the obligation to buy.
This approach fits investors who were already planning to own IWDA and are comfortable adding on weakness. That includes both long-term investors and traders who maintain a strategic allocation alongside more active positions.
It is less suitable for investors who might change their view if markets decline. The strategy only works if the willingness to buy remains intact when prices move lower.
The strategy itself is not new. What has changed is the contract size.
Mini-options allow investors to express a familiar idea—getting paid while waiting to buy—in increments that are easier to manage and align better with gradual portfolio construction.
The trade-off, however, remains unchanged: limited income today in exchange for a potentially much larger obligation if markets fall.
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