3_chartM

Klarna IPO: investor guide

Equities
Ruben Dalfovo
Ruben Dalfovo

Investment Strategist

Key takeaways

  • Terms: USD 35–37 per share, symbol “KLAR,” and USD 14 billion valuation
  • Growth solid, profits mixed: revenue up, net loss on share-based compensation (SBC) and credit costs
  • Timeline: pricing on 9 Sep 2025, initial public offering on 10 Sep 2025


Range set, listing next

Klarna plans to sell 34.3 million shares at USD 35–37 each, implying a valuation of up to USD 14 billion. The stock will list in the USA on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker KLAR.

If demand is strong, banks may sell additional shares for 30 days. Pricing is scheduled for the evening of 9 September 2025 (CET). If all goes to plan, the shares will be available to trade for investors on 10 September on the NYSE.

Building BNPL's European rail

Founded in 2005, Klarna is Sweden’s buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) pioneer. It lets shoppers split purchases into instalments at checkout. It scaled across Europe and accelerated with the 2013–14 acquisition of SOFORT, Germany’s leading direct bank-transfer checkout.

The deal opened the DACH door, expanded reach to 14 countries and 43,000 merchants, and plugged Klarna into over half of German online shops, giving the combined group roughly 10% share of its addressed e-commerce payments market. A Swedish banking licence in 2017 widened Klarna’s remit; it now offers debit cards and deposit accounts.


Financial results at a glance 

  • January–June 2025: shoppers spent SEK 571 billion via Klarna, up 17% year on year.
  • Revenue (Klarna calls this “net operating income”) SEK 12.3 billion, up 10%.
  • Operating loss SEK 1.1 billion vs SEK 0.3 billion last year; net loss SEK 1.3 billion.
  • Main drags: share-based pay and higher credit costs as U.S. lending grows.
  • Credit losses SEK 3.2 billion; loss rate 0.57% of shopper spend.
  • April–June 2025 revenue USD 823 million, up 20% year on year.


What's setting the price

Two stories drive the range. First, a reset in value. From a USD 45 billion private peak in 2021 to about USD 14 billion at IPO. That clears the air and sets expectations. Second, profits. Growth is healthy, yet losses persist as credit provisions and share-based compensation (SBC) weigh.

Loss rates look steadier as the U.S. mix grows, but the credit cycle will decide the slope. Investors will test whether “operational profitability” turns into cleaner earnings. They will watch take rate (revenue per dollar of checkout), funding costs, and early returns from financing and ads. Regulation sits in the background and can change unit economics quickly. Deliver discipline on credit and SBC and the multiple can stretch; miss, and it compresses.

Investor watch

Pricing and debut: test demand quality at pricing on 9 September 2025. On 10 September, watch the open, liquidity, and close vs offer.

Unit economics: take rate (revenue per checkout dollar), credit-loss ratio, U.S. mix, and share-based pay (SBC) cadence in the first update.

Funding and regulation: deposit growth, capital buffer (CET1), and BNPL rule changes in the U.S., UK, and EU.


Portfolio fit and risks

Klarna is a high-beta stock. That means it can swing more than the market. Profits can move sharply because small changes in sales or loss rates hit the bottom line hard. The upside case is simple: more users and merchants lower unit costs, while ads and longer repayment plans widen revenue per checkout.

Key risks are also clear. Credit losses can rise if the economy slows. Rules for “buy now, pay later” can change in the U.S., UK, or EU. Funding costs matter if rates stay high. Early trading can be choppy because the free float is small and banks can support trading for up to 30 days.

The read from here

Klarna’s float tests a plain idea: growth is intact, profits must catch up. The drivers are scale and merchant reach; the risks are credit costs, funding, regulation, and dilution from stock-based pay. If take rate inches higher and loss ratios stay stable, the profitability path clears. If not, the multiple compresses.

The timeline is simple. Price on 9 September. Trade on 10 September. Then judge the first update for take rate, loss ratio, and SBC discipline. From here, execution—not promises—sets the price.

This material is marketing content and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results.
The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options..

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Q3 Investor Outlook: Beyond American shores – why diversification is your strongest ally

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q3 Investor Outlook: Beyond American shores – why diversification is your strongest ally

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Q3 Macro Outlook: Less chaos, and hopefully a bit more clarity

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q3 Macro Outlook: Less chaos, and hopefully a bit more clarity

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    After the chaos of Q2, the quarter ahead should get a bit more clarity on how Trump 2.0 is impacting...
  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.


Business Hills Park – Building 4,
4th Floor, office 401, Dubai Hills Estate, P.O. Box 33641, Dubai, UAE

Contact Saxo

Select region

UAE
UAE

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.