Equities

From highs to lows: Why the market dip is no reason for long-term investors to panic

Jacob Falkencrone 400x400
Jacob Falkencrone

Global Head of Investment Strategy

Key points:

  • Stay disciplined: Despite recent volatility, long-term investors should avoid panic and stick to their investment strategy, as history shows markets often recover from downturns.
  • Look beyond the noise: Market pullbacks are normal. Focus on long-term goals, maintain diversification, and consider the current market dip as a potential opportunity to invest in quality assets at lower prices.
  • Embrace the boring: Defensive sectors like consumer staples and utilities can provide stability during market turbulence, proving that "boring" can be the best strategy in uncertain times.

Just a few weeks ago, on February 19th, 2025, the stock market was celebrating fresh all-time highs. Fast forward to today, and the sentiment couldn’t be more different.

The S&P 500 has now dropped around 9% from its peak, with the latest sell-off sending the index down 2.7% on Monday alone. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fared even worse, sliding 4%, while big names like Tesla, Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon saw significant losses.

At the heart of this rapid shift in market mood are growing fears of a US recession. President Donald Trump’s recent comments about the potential for an economic downturn, combined with his administration’s unpredictable tariff strategy, have left investors jittery. This kind of uncertainty often leads to sharp market reactions as investors struggle to make sense of the new risks on the horizon.

"When markets get rough, remember: Boring can be better than thrilling. Defensive plays and steady hands win the long game." -Jacob Falkencrone

Looking past the noise

While the current market environment might feel unsettling, it's important for long-term investors to focus on the bigger picture. History shows that market volatility is not only normal but expected. An in-depth analysis of the S&P 500’s performance over the past 60 years reveals that, despite average annual drawdowns of 14.4%, the market has delivered an average annual return of 8.7%.

DDanalysis2

More than half of the years experienced drawdowns exceeding 10%, yet nearly 75% of all years ended in positive territory. These figures reinforce a critical lesson: short-term market movements are often just noise. Investors who focus too much on daily market swings risk making decisions based on emotion rather than strategy. The current situation is a prime example of why staying disciplined and maintaining a long-term perspective is essential for investment success.

"Volatility is a normal part of the investment journey. Those who stay disciplined often find smoother waters ahead." -Jacob Falkencrone

Why "boring" can be better than "thrilling"

When markets are in turmoil, there is a natural temptation to chase quick gains or react hastily to negative news. However, history suggests that the best approach during market downturns is to focus on the "boring" investments—those in sectors like consumer staples and utilities. These areas of the market tend to perform relatively well during economic slowdowns because they offer products and services that remain in demand regardless of market conditions.

For retail investors, now might be a good time to review their portfolios and ensure they are diversified across different asset classes and sectors. Having a balanced mix of investments not only helps manage risk but also positions portfolios to benefit from eventual market recoveries.

How should investors behave?

  1. Stay invested: The instinct to sell during downturns is natural, but it often leads to locking in losses. Long-term investors benefit from riding out market storms and focusing on their financial goals.

  2. Rebalance your portfolio: Market volatility can shift the balance of your investments. Regularly reviewing and adjusting your portfolio can help maintain your intended risk profile.

  3. Embrace diversification: During uncertain times, diversification is your best friend. Defensive investments, such as dividend-paying stocks or sectors like consumer staples, can add stability.

  4. Avoid knee-jerk reactions: Making investment decisions based on short-term market movements rarely pays off. Instead, focus on your long-term plan and avoid getting caught up in the market’s daily drama.

  5. Look for opportunities: While the market is down 9% from its highs, this could be an opportunity to buy quality assets at lower prices. If your investment strategy involves regular contributions, continue to invest consistently.

The shift from record highs in February to the current market pullback is a reminder of how quickly sentiment can change. However, history and analysis show that volatility is part of investing. By focusing on what you can control, avoiding the noise, and maintaining a long-term perspective, you increase your chances of achieving strong returns over time. Markets may be down, but for disciplined investors, this could be a time to build a stronger portfolio for the future.

 


This content is marketing material and should not be considered investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee for future performance.

The instrument(s) mentioned in this content may be issued by a partner, from which Saxo receives promotion, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo receives compensation from these partnerships, all content is conducted with the intention of providing clients with valuable options and information.

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Outrageous Predictions

    Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • Britain’s Great EU Backdoor Return

    Outrageous Predictions

    Britain’s Great EU Backdoor Return

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    Faced with rolling fiscal, economic, trade and political crises the UK government sneaks back into t...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd. (Saxo) and the Saxo Bank Group provides execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation. Access and use of this website is subject to: (i) the Terms of Use; (ii) the full Disclaimer; (iii) the Risk Warning; and (iv) any other notice or terms applying to Saxo’s news and research.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer for more details. Past Performance is not indicative of future results.

Saxo
40 Bank Street, 26th floor
E14 5DA
London
United Kingdom

Contact Saxo

Select region

United Kingdom
United Kingdom

Trade Responsibly
All trading carries risk. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more
Additional Key Information Documents are available in our trading platform.

Saxo is a registered Trading Name of Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd (‘Saxo’). Saxo is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, Firm Reference Number 551422. Registered address: 26th Floor, 40 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5DA. Company number 7413871. Registered in England & Wales.

This website, including the information and materials contained in it, are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in the United States, Belgium or any other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation.

It is important that you understand that with investments, your capital is at risk. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. It is your responsibility to ensure that you make an informed decision about whether or not to invest with us. If you are still unsure if investing is right for you, please seek independent advice. Saxo assumes no liability for any loss sustained from trading in accordance with a recommendation.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.

©   since 1992